I would say 60% chance we get him, 30% chance Wisconsin gets him, 10% chance UM gets him.
I can't really get more into the numbers than that. The things that
MSU has in favor of it is Dantonio and his staff being well liked by those close to the situation,
MSU's offense,
MSU's current class of newcomers, those involved disliking RR's coaching style (very vulgar in practice and crosses the line with comments), the belief that UM would not want him over 300 pds.
Things going against
MSU, he grew up as a UM fan.