Quote:
Originally Posted by Eliot Draisen
Obama lost by double digits to Hillary in PA, I love how Dems are chalking it up in the win column already.
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Don't kid yourself, Obama is still beating McCain by 9 points in Pennsylvania.
RealClearPolitics - Pennsylvania Head-to-Head Polls
Using this website:
Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator
I took 2004's election results and made these states independent:
Nevada (
Pollster.com)
New Mexico (
Pollster.com)
Colorado (
Pollster.com)
Iowa (
Pollster.com)
Michigan (
Pollster.com)
Ohio (
Pollster.com)
Virginia (
Pollster.com)
That leaves 231 for the Dems, 231 for the GOP, and 76 swing votes.
I think McCain takes Virginia, Nevada, Ohio
I think Obama takes Michigan, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico
Leaving the Dems with 269, and the GOP with 269
